
AfD in Power: What It Could Mean for Germany's Civil Rights and Immigrants
Analysts explore what an AfD state government in Saxony-Anhalt could mean for Germany's Verfassungsschutz and the rights of immigrants and minorities.

Germany has long been one of Europe's top destinations for expats, skilled workers, and immigrants from around the world. But new figures from the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) show that the number of people choosing to move to Germany is continuing to fall. This is not a small blip — it is a sustained trend that raises real questions about what is changing in the country and what it means for those already living here or planning to make the move. Whether you are on a work visa, considering relocation, or helping a friend navigate the process, understanding why fewer people are coming matters.
Destatis, Germany's official federal statistics agency, tracks migration flows in and out of the country. The latest figures confirm a continuing decline in net immigration — meaning the gap between people arriving and people leaving is narrowing. This follows a broader pattern that began reversing the record highs seen during and after the 2022 refugee wave driven by the war in Ukraine.
While Germany still attracts hundreds of thousands of newcomers each year, the growth rate has slowed considerably. Fewer skilled workers are choosing Germany over other European destinations, and the number of family reunification and humanitarian arrivals has also been subject to tighter controls.
Several factors are contributing to this shift:
Stricter immigration controls: Germany has tightened border checks and introduced more rigorous screening processes over the past two years. Political pressure — particularly from the rise of the AfD and its influence on mainstream policy debates — has pushed both the previous and current government to adopt more restrictive stances on entry.
Bureaucratic bottlenecks: Germany's reputation for slow, paper-heavy administration remains a serious deterrent. Long waiting times at Ausländerbehörde offices, delays in visa processing, and the complexity of credential recognition continue to frustrate skilled workers who might otherwise choose Germany over Canada, the Netherlands, or Scandinavia.
Cost of living and housing: Rents in major German cities have risen sharply. Finding affordable housing in Berlin, Munich, Hamburg, or Frankfurt has become increasingly difficult, and this practical barrier is influencing relocation decisions before people even arrive.
Political climate: The growing visibility of far-right politics and reported increases in discrimination have made some potential immigrants — particularly people of colour and those from non-European countries — reconsider Germany as a welcoming destination.
Competition from other countries: Germany is not the only country competing for international talent. Countries with simpler visa processes, English-language work environments, and lower bureaucratic friction are attracting people who might previously have chosen Germany.
If you are already living and working in Germany, this trend has some indirect but real consequences:
Not necessarily in legal terms — Germany actually introduced the Chancenkarte (opportunity card) and expanded the Fachkräfteeinwanderungsgesetz (Skilled Immigration Act) in 2024 to make it easier for qualified workers to come. However, the practical experience — long processing times, high documentation requirements, and social factors — can make the process feel more difficult despite legal improvements.
Not automatically. Fewer people moving does not mean Germany is a bad choice — it means the decision requires more research. If you have a concrete job offer, a recognised qualification, and a realistic housing plan, Germany remains a strong option with solid workers' rights, public healthcare, and long-term residence pathways. Speak to a qualified immigration lawyer or consult BAMF's official resources before making any decision.
Possibly. Governments typically respond to declining skilled immigration with either incentive programmes or procedural reforms. Watch for changes to Aufenthaltstitel conditions, integration support, or labour recognition rules over the coming months.
The decline in people moving to Germany is a signal worth paying attention to — not as a reason for alarm, but as context for understanding the environment you are living or moving into. If you are already here, stay informed about policy changes that could affect your permit or pathway to permanent residence. If you are planning to move, do your homework: the legal door is open in many cases, but the practical journey requires preparation.
For official guidance, visit the BAMF website (bamf.de) or consult a registered immigration lawyer (Fachanwalt für Ausländerrecht).
Source: iamexpat / Destatis (Federal Statistical Office of Germany)
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